SAFER: Schedule Adjusted Football Efficiency Ratings
Click here for full explanation and methods
Rankings
SAFER values indicate the expected point differential against an average NFL team in a game that is 10 drives long.
Score Predictions
Best ATS Picks:
- Bengals (+4.5) vs Rams
Model Statistics:
- Straight Up Record: 182-101-1 (64.3%)
- Against the Spread: 145-137-2 (51.4%)
- Mean Absolute Error: 10.88
- See how these compare to other models: NFL Predictions Tracker
Best Ball Stats 