NFL SAFER Rankings

SAFER: Schedule Adjusted Football Efficiency Ratings

Click here for full explanation and methods


SAFER values indicate the expected point differential against an average NFL team in a game that is 10 drives long.

Score Predictions

Best ATS Picks:

  • Bengals (+4.5) vs Rams

Model Statistics:

  • Straight Up Record: 182-101-1 (64.3%)
  • Against the Spread: 145-137-2 (51.4%)
  • Mean Absolute Error: 10.88
  • See how these compare to other models: NFL Predictions Tracker

Other Models: