Basketball is all about scoring more than your opponent, and the best way to do this is by getting better shots than your opponent. An crucial part to offensive efficiency is shot selection. Taking the right shots will improve the chance of making more baskets and winning games. The best shots can vary by team, … Continue reading Shot Selection: A Surprising Playoff Advantage (or Disadvantage)
March Madness Upsets, Sleepers, and More!
The 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket has been released, which means it is time for millions of people to fill out their brackets. Although no one has ever picked a perfect bracket (which is not surprising considering the chances are 1 in about 9 quintillion if you choose randomly), it is still fun to try and … Continue reading March Madness Upsets, Sleepers, and More!
Which College Basketball Players will be All-Americans?
Being named an All-American is one of the highest honors for a college basketball player. The players that are named All-Americans are considered to be the best 15 players by 4 major groups. These include the Associated Press, United States Basketball Writers Association, Sporting News, and the National Association of Basketball Coaches. Each of these … Continue reading Which College Basketball Players will be All-Americans?
Predicting NBA First-Time All-Stars in 2022-23
For some NBA players, it takes time to reach full potential. There are unexpected breakout players every season. For example, take Andrew Wiggins. Wiggins never turned into the player that many scouts expected him to be when he was drafted in 2014 by the Minnesota Timberwolves, culminating in a trade to the Golden State Warriors. … Continue reading Predicting NBA First-Time All-Stars in 2022-23
Foul up 3 or Defend?: Analyzing late game strategy
Decisions at the end of basketball games often decide the outcome. There are many difficult choices to be made with shot selection, pace, defensive style, and more. However, basketball teams and coaches may not be maximizing their win probability based on their choices. In this article, I will look at the win probabilities of 3 … Continue reading Foul up 3 or Defend?: Analyzing late game strategy
True Shooting Ability: Separating Shooting Talent from Shot Circumstances
Outside shooting is more important now than ever in the NBA. The frequency of three point attempts has been increasing since the beginning of the 2010's. The simplest measure of 3-point ability is basic 3-point percentage, but this metric does not tell the whole story. It lacks too much context. A player can make 30 … Continue reading True Shooting Ability: Separating Shooting Talent from Shot Circumstances
The Cost of Injuries: Injury Adjusted Wins
One of the most unfortunate things in sports are injuries. Teams and players have almost no control over this, and one wrong move can derail a team's season or a player's career. Take the Brooklyn Nets, for example. The Nets looked like they would be one of the NBA's top contenders, but an injury to … Continue reading The Cost of Injuries: Injury Adjusted Wins
Generating NBA Archetypes Using K-Means Clustering
The NBA commonly uses five positions to group players: point guard, shooting guard, small forward, power forward, and center. However, today's NBA is becoming increasingly position-less. Instead, teams care more about the specific skills and tendencies of players when making lineups. This has led to the need to create new grouping for players. One way … Continue reading Generating NBA Archetypes Using K-Means Clustering
Did Jimmy Butler Take the Right Shot?
The Eastern Conference Finals between the Celtics and Heat has been a tightly contested series, with each game being unpredictable. In Game 7, the game that would decide which team faces the Warriors in the Finals, the Heat found themselves down just 2 points with less than 30 seconds left in the game. Marcus Smart … Continue reading Did Jimmy Butler Take the Right Shot?
What Went Wrong for the 76ers
The 76ers lost to the Miami Heat in 6 games in the Conference Semi-Finals, marking the fifth consecutive year that their playoff journey ends before the conference finals. While their core players of Joel Embiid and James Harden seem promising, smaller issues keep hurting their team. This year seemed like one of the 76ers' best … Continue reading What Went Wrong for the 76ers