Decisions at the end of basketball games often decide the outcome. There are many difficult choices to be made with shot selection, pace, defensive style, and more. However, basketball teams and coaches may not be maximizing their win probability based on their choices. In this article, I will look at the win probabilities of 3 … Continue reading Foul up 3 or Defend?: Analyzing late game strategy
Tag: Coaching
Why NFL Teams Should Use Running Backs by Committee
As a football game progresses, players get more and more tired. While players are usually fresh at the beginning of a game, they are usually fatigued by the end after having played for hours. Even though we know that NFL players get tired as a game goes on, we do not know how their fatigue … Continue reading Why NFL Teams Should Use Running Backs by Committee
Pass or Run: A Guide for NFL Play-Calling
The decision to pass or run on a given play in the NFL is a big one. Each has different risks, benefits, and specific situations where it is best. Right now, NFL offenses usually call passes when there are many yards until a first down and runs when there are fewer yards to gain. However, … Continue reading Pass or Run: A Guide for NFL Play-Calling
4th Down: How Aggressiveness Relates to Better Offensive Efficiency
Fourth downs are one of the most intense situations in all of football. A fourth down conversion or failure can change the outcome of a game. Just look at last week's Ravens vs Chiefs game, for example. The Ravens were faced with one of the most difficult decisions in football: go for a 4th & … Continue reading 4th Down: How Aggressiveness Relates to Better Offensive Efficiency